Ottawa Real Estate Prices for 2024: Prices are going up 1.6% on a year-over-year
The OREB MLS OF Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.
OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.
LOW INVENTORY IN THE OTTAWA REAL ESATE MARKET JAN 2024
Still plague Market and causes prices to increase once again.
OTTAWA, December 5, 2023 – The number of
homes sold through the MLS® System of the
Ottawa Real Estate Board totaled 724 units in
November 2023. This was a small reduction of
1.6% from November 2022.
Home sales were 31.8% below the five-year
average and 27.4% below the 10-year average
for the month of November.
On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled
11,421 units after 11 months of the year. This
was a large decline of 11.7% from the same
period in 2022.
“Sales are performing as expected with the
arrival of colder months, and an uptick in new
and active listings is bringing more choice back
into the market,” says OREB President Ken
Dekker. “While more choice may mean the pace
of buying and selling has slowed, that doesn’t
mean people looking to enter or upgrade in the
market should sit back. Prospective buyers or
those looking to upgrade have an opportunity
to collaborate with their REALTOR® to carefully
explore the market, identify the ideal property,
and negotiate an attractive deal at their
own pace. Sellers will have to manage their
expectations regarding the quantity of offers and
speed of transactions, and their REALTOR® is
the best resource to help them confidently price
and prepare their home for a quality sale.”
By the Numbers – Prices:
The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price
trends far more accurately than is possible
using average or median price measures.
•
The overall MLS® HPI composite
benchmark price was $628,900 in
November 2023, a modest gain of 1.4%
from November 2022.
o The benchmark price for single-family
homes was $708,900, up 1.6% on a
year-over-year basis in November.
o By comparison, the benchmark price for
a townhouse/row unit was $492,300,
nearly unchanged, up 0.8% compared
to a year earlier.
o The benchmark apartment price was
$424,300, up 1.2% from year-ago
levels.
•
The average price of homes sold in
November 2023 was $633,138, decreasing
0.8% from November 2022. The more
comprehensive year-to-date average price
was $669,536, a decline of 5.7% from 11
months of 2022.
•
The dollar value of all home sales in
November 2023 was $458.4 million, down
2.4% from the same month in 2022.
OREB cautions that the average sale price
can be useful in establishing trends over
time but should not be used as an indicator
that specific properties have increased or
decreased in value. The calculation of the
average sale price is based on the total dollar
volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from
neighbourhood to neighbourhood.
By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings
•
The number of new listings saw a minor
increase of 2.7% from November 2022.
There were 1,428 new residential listings
in November 2023. New listings were 8.4%
above the five-year average and 10.4%
above the 10-year average for the month
of November.
•
Active residential listings numbered
2,752 units on the market at the end of
November, a sizable gain of 15.8% from
the end of November 2022. Active listings
haven’t been this high in the month of
November in more than five years.
•
Active listings were 53.9% above the five-
year average and 6.7% below the 10-year
average for the month of November.
•
Months of inventory numbered 3.8 at the
end of November 2023, up from the 3.2
months recorded at the end of November
2022 and above the long-run average
of 3.3 months for this time of year. The
number of months of inventory is the
number of months it would take to sell
current inventories at the current rate of
sales activity.
Sources : OREB -CREA
Builder Agreements should include details such as:
PDI – Date
Assignment clause: a must
Evaluation of home value (Appraisal – you should pay for one)
Deposit Structure: Can you get a better deposit structure
Mortgage approval – a must
Pre-approval – a must
Insurance clause – a must
Location:
Flooding topography
Hwy access
Hydro box green
Road T
SITE PLAN disclosure – commercial or other future development, check with the city
Backing on to graveyards or other
WHAT FUTURE DEVELOPMENT WILL HAPPEN AROUND THE HOME is very import to value
Shopping close
Schools
Bus stops
Structure:
Model
Sqft cost
List of actual finishes
Design
Floor plan
How long is your Tarion Warranty, and what is under warranty and for how long?
Upgrades list and value $
Builder Insurance coverage
(* for information only – buyers need legal advice or to work with an agent)
September 20th, 2023
Source: OREB
The Ottawa Real Estate Board reported that its members sold 1,196 residential properties in August through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System data service, compared with 1,130 in August 2022, an increase of 6%. August’s sales included 903 in the freehold-property class, up 7% from a year ago, and 293 in the condominium-property category, a 2% increase from August 2022. The five-year average for total unit sales in August is 1,525.
“Ottawa Sales activity was up marginally on a year-over-year basis in August but remained well below the historical average for this time of year,” says Ken Dekker, OREB President. “There is no shortage of demand given increased immigration and the large Canadian population cohort entering the market. The lack of suitable, affordable housing is a hindrance. High borrowing costs and economic uncertainty are impacting both sellers and buyers, which we expect will continue to result in further market fluctuations.”
NUMBER OF HOME FOR SALE ARE LOWER THAN OTHER YEARS
IT LOOKS LIKE 2022 AND 2023 HAVE THE SAME AVERAGE SALE PRICE
LOW NUMBER OF LISTINGS, LOW SALE VOLUME 2023
IT LOOKS LIKE WE ARE STILL LOW ON LISTINGS
OREB NEWS
March 3, 2023
Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) sold 855 residential properties in February through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System, compared with 1,411 in February 2022, a decrease of 39%. February’s sales included 633 in the freehold-property class, down 42% from a year ago, and 222 in the condominium-property category, a decrease of 31% from February 2022. The five-year average for total unit sales in February is 1,157.
“We’re going to see declines in transactions and prices when we compare current figures to last February — the height of the pandemic resale market activity,” says Ottawa Real Estate Board’s President Ken Dekker. “On the other hand, with the Bank of Canada holding interest rates steady, prospective buyers have more budget certainty to work with as we head into the spring market.”
By the Numbers – Average Prices*:
“The average price increase for freeholds over January could be an indicator that buyers have normalized to the current interest rates. And perhaps, it’s a glimmer of more activity to come in the months ahead.”
By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings:
“A decrease in the days on market, paired with fewer new listings entering the market, is good news for sellers,” says Dekker. “However, if that trend continues to impact our supply stock and we don’t get more inventory, our otherwise balanced market could swing back into seller’s territory — but it’s too early to predict.”
“The best advice for sellers and buyers in today’s market is to pay close attention to the comparison and competition insights only a REALTOR® can offer. Ottawa is made up of many micro-markets, and neighbourhood-level data is vital to standing out and closing deals.”
REALTORS® also help with finding rentals and vetting potential tenants. Since the beginning of the year, OREB Members have assisted clients with renting 995 properties compared to 800 last year at this time, an increase of 24%.
Average Sale Price February 2023= from $708,172 down to $620,088 (-12.4% down)
Quantity of sales: 2471 down to 1513 in Feb 2023 (-38% down)
CDOM= Re-listed : Days on Market from 27 to 69 days ( more days on market: +42 days)
DOM= Days on Market – from 19 days TO 44 days longer in 2023 ( more days on market: +25 days)
Lets look at this weekly average price in Ottawa real estate.
Real Estate news in Ottawa.
With year-to-date average sale prices at $774,422 for residential units and $454,436 for condominiums, these values represent an 8% increase over 2021 for both property classes
As we take a closer look at these November 2022 Real Estate prices below and above. We are seeing a 2 storey home selling for less this month. Listing a higher price, but Selling Less. The average price has dropped to (-4.3%) and homes are staying longer on the market.
So let’s look even closer:
Year to date chart: November 2022 to November 2023 prices are UP +8.7% for that same average price on the same home. The way we are seeing things..is that more or less we are entering into a Normal Market +4%to 5% per year increases as per normal before 2015. Everyone at my brokerage thinks, home prices in Ottawa went up too aggressively and now the party is over in Toronto and now in Ottawa!
We don’t think Double digits profit and these aggressive increases per year in the Ottawa Real Estate market is a healthy market.
Lets talk a bit about supply:
New Homes Supply is still very low and will continue to create demand and that means you pay more. See Condos went up 9.3% this month because of affordability and a lack of homes. Over Supply of homes are also not good, and that was the case in the US HOUSING CRASH around 2008 it stalled or crashed most economies including Canada.
Construction and Renovation a difficult permit process.
I would say, we do need to get more homes constructed right now, and building a home should be made much much easier. But it seems today you need a University Degree to deal with the building departments for the Construction of a family home. Apparently my grandfather grade 8 education is no good in our times. With his hand drawings or ruler and pencil wouldn’t work today to get a permit and he constructed 100s of homes as a carpenter, and he had 9 children all educated and fed well. Some people can only afford 1 child. What is wrong with our system in 2022? It simply broken with greed and we are seeing life keeps getting more expensive, harder and more controls placed upon us. It’s impossible building a home or renovation for an apartment in your basement, or building a sons home at the back on your 5 acre land . Our permit system is designed to stop us from building homes. All construction approval is controlled by a few, just like oil.
Conclusion: How about if the city would design 5-10 home models (standard family homes) for you to chose from, free of charge and ready to go, engineered stamped and approved drawings, with all technical drawing stamped for insurance. All designed and Ready for a person to build his/her home on a piece of land. Wouldn’t that be cheaper for the citizen and our kids to build a home? Wouldn’t that ready to go models stop all this red tape, delays, paperwork dance, back and forth approval drawings, months of planning? Just my thoughts on helping people get a home faster! I also think the government should be more involved in the home building for its citizens in 2022 as many developing countries do and since we all now know we have a supply problem.
Did you know: In the last 10 years Builders were only releasing to build a few homes at a time, and selling them in an Auction Sales day Now!! 10 homes for a 100 buyer and you bid. First release Sales day! Prices will continue to climb aggressively if we don’t address these lack of new home supply issues soon. That’s just my thoughts.
Have a super month and remember investing in a property is always a good investment. Ask your parents what they paid for a home and see the future prices unfold.
Let me help you to Build family Wealth in Real Estate. Join me one evening and let me show you where to invest in Real Estate for a wealthier family future.
Contact me anytime,
John
Just Sold
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